Tuesday, February 10, 2015
Why BJP Lost In New Delhi
AAP won it in Delhi. Or, is it BJP that lost the election badly? Questions are many and so are the surprises. A score line that reads 67-3 is more like a Cricket score board than the seat tally of a state election. No doubt on the convincing nature of the margin and with due respect to the voters of Delhi, they didn’t even want an opposition in the assembly. Before we move ahead, I must request AAP to not allow BJP to even have the position of LoP because they simply don’t deserve it. Like what BJP did at the center, I expect AAP to snub away any claim of BJP for the leader of opposition in the assembly because that is the rule. And, as it is, a mere 3 number of constituents don’t count as opposition in any way.
How this happened? Someone who is/was and most probably will always remain an escapist in his life got back to where he promptly ditched a year back. In true sense, people of Delhi appear to be real “Dillwallas” to forgive such untrustworthy act in a years’ time. For debate we can dissect everything that we have, depending on which side of the political fence we are sitting, but the fact remains that, people of Delhi not only forgive Arvind Kejriwal but also believed that the man is genuinely repenting on his earlier mistakes. Perhaps and I hope, people of Delhi are much smarter than many of us and know what exactly they are doing or have done. Only wish – people of Delhi won’t turn around later and cry for their mistake. “You Deserve It” would be the only consolation that would be dished out in return, if that happens. You repeat it twice in a row and it no more remains a mistake.
Since the Delhi polls are done and dusted, BJP must sit down and do something called introspection. For an average layman like me, it is more like BJP losing the election than AAP winning it. If vote percentage is taken into account, BJP still have the same vote share that they had last time. But the number of seats has taken a beating. This suggests a gross failure in strategy than voter’s wrath. We will get to that analysis part a little later.
But before that we must stump on the fact that, a small state (even I hate to call it a state) like Delhi has its election held at par with the general elections or may be even more. Far bigger states like Rajasthan, Maharashtra and Haryana never got the same amount of cacophony as Delhi did. A close look at Delhi elections and you get that feel of hype immediately. Why Delhi of all the states got the maximum attention of our media? They may make you believe that Delhi being the power center of the nation calls for bigger attention but that is far from being the truth. And the truth is; the hype around Delhi elections is because of the desperate attempt of our media and the secularists to downplay Narendra Modi by any means. An election which can’t be described anything beyond a municipality election in national terms is touted as a watershed event in our democracy because the media syndicate for the first time sniffed a chance to decadent Modi. They felt the euphoria within with the prospect of lambasting Modi and his ineffectiveness after failing to do so in last 12 years. Starting with the 2014 general election and the state elections that followed, our secularists were desperately waiting for that one moment to declare Modi a loser but that moment never arrived. In event of such desperation, Delhi election was that trace of light at the end of the tunnel for these secularists. So Delhi election being blown out of proportion is nothing but on the expected lines. That is perhaps why, many of our secular newspapers published special afternoon editions today to celebrate their much needed small victory in demining Narendra Modi finally. Have you seen them coming out with any such edition on May 16th last year? Well, why should they? After all, how come the secularists celebrate the victory of a fascist BJP?
But all said and done, BJP did lose it. In fact they lost it badly. And blame need to be shared in proportion. The biggest chunk of blame must go to Narendra Modi and Amit Shah. For reasons best known to the strategist in Amit Shah, Delhi elections were held way too late. In fact late by at least six months. I am sure, had these elections were held in September, AAP would have been wiped out from Indian political scene. Don’t know why but BJP kept on dragging its feet over Delhi poll dates. I blame Narendra Modi because I found him wasting his time in election campaigns than running the nation. Over the last 8 months Modi was seen campaigning for every state that went to polls. The deliveries that were promised before the national elections never took the attention of the PM. Nobody was expecting results in 8 months but at least there could have been some visible attempt at fulfilling the promises. But strangely, Modi continued with his campaign mode than running the government. And, I being a citizen of this country object to such mishandling of a PM’s role. Beyond a point BJP has to find ways to win elections without Modi and they should learn it quickly. There are way too many in BJP who are non-deserving to say the least but occupying the positions purely on Modi’s fame. It is about time such incompetent people are shown the reality and I am glad the voters of Delhi showed them the truth finally.
Second blame must go to the infighting in state BJP. Amit Shah’s idea to remote control everything backfired finally. To win elections, trust on your local leadership must be bestowed. The biggest mistake was the option of the CM candidate. If Manohar Parikar could be pulled from the state and put in center then why Dr. Harshvardan can’t be pulled from the center and put back in Delhi? Choice of Kiran Bedi, which appeared as a mistake initially in fact turned out to be a blunder. This is perhaps what happens when you trust too much on someone like Arun Jaitley who himself never won an election but decides the roadmap for the state election. At no point Ms. Kiran Bedi looked like a CM candidate. More than strategy, selection of Ms. Bedi appeared like the anxiety of BJP. All local tall leaders were ignored for Ms. Bedi and I don’t know why it should have been that way. This is where the strategy seems to have gone haywire. BJP which thought Delhi to be in their kitty concentrated on other state elections before coming here but ended up being too clever by half. The over confidence with the think tank in what they can achieve went beyond a point that made them find Delhi elections a cake walk. But reality has some very bad ways to make it remain relevant. And certainly there can’t be anything worse than a score line of 67-3 for BJP.
Third reason is the arrogance of the BJP spokespersons appearing on TV. Unfortunately they are repeating what Congress spokespersons were doing during their heydays. Absolute disregard to the intellect of the voters is just one of them. Someone like Sambit Patra must learn to conjure up his thoughts with little humility. You can’t simply accuse AAP of anarchism when you yourself appear to be one. Mr. Patra seems to have done as much damage to BJP’s fortune in Delhi as Sanjay Jha did to Congress’s fortunes in 2014 general elections. I am sure BJP would give that much needed break to, not just Mr. Patra but many of its overworking spokespersons. But I don’t blame Mr. Patra alone. This is again what happens when you strategize around one man. Cult worshiping never lets you go too far. Be it Congress with their Gandhis or the state satraps that are more like family run enterprises; it always fails after a certain point. If Rahul Gandhi failing pathetically can’t juggle up as a good example for BJP to stop running around one man then I am sure 2019 elections would throw more such painful realities. People in BJP must let Modi do what he is been elected for than gathering votes for the party in every election. That not only is a bad strategy but also is a grave injustice to all the voters who made Modi what he is now. And it is not a secret that voters of today ate too impatient to take your party’s inner benefits in exchange of their votes for too long. I am sure there are people in BJP who know how to pull up their shocks and work professionally. No, I am not all considering Arun Jaitley as one of them. And, someone please stop this Ravishankar Prasad appear on TV altogether.