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Wednesday, December 4, 2013

Elections 2013 – My Perspective

It is a Maxi Post

Before the cacophony in our studios start past 6 Pm today after the last ballot is cast, here I take the opportunity to scribe something.  Because once the clock ticks 6 in the evening it would be a field day for all our crook media houses to air their nonsense which they term as exit polls or something. The Arnavs, the Sardesais and his IQ less wife, the Radia tape fames; all would be busy airing their share of guess work and I am sure that would pretty much remain same till the counting begins on 8th December. Among such sold out heavyweights, lesser unknown mortals like me would have our voices and opinions vanish in thin air quicker than Sonia Gandhi’s name vanished from the Huffington Post. So why not take this little window of opportunity to jolt down your opinion before nobody cares to know your pennyworth; I thought. Here I go then.

Sorry to the Mizoram guys, I couldn’t care less if there is an election there or not. Well, it is not only me but if you look at our media then you hardly recognize that this North-Eastern state is actually having its legislative assembly election along with the much touted other four. So why blame me alone for ignoring our friends there? Anyway, you guys are going to stick to the filthy Congress yet again and I can only say good luck to you and your next generation. Simply don’t turn back later and shout how discriminate you feel and how you don’t feel like part of India. I would say you deserve it after your prolonged affection for this crook party.  

Since Mizoram is settled, why not start from the hotbed of all political TuTu-MainMain this season? I mean the Delhi election that is. Now Delhi is what I can say the only place where Congress can stop BJP from their four way sweep of the elections. And for that to happen how important a crook masquerading as a champion of anti-corruption going by the name Arvind Kejriwal is, not a secret anymore. From the day Arvind was seen alongside Anna Hazare during the Lokpal fasts, I smelt rat. The smell even became more pungent when I found him taking Anna to various places to hold his fast. Back then I had suggested in one of my blogs that Arvind is just gazing where his idea of anti-corruption is getting more support. When there was no hint of him forming a political party, I suggested, Arvind may be in lookout for an opportunity to float a political outfit of his own. And boy didn’t that come true? I mean, Arvind gazed that it is Delhi where his lout idea is getting the maximum support then why not start politicking from Delhi itself?

Back then I unequivocally said that, this Arvind thing could very well be a nasty plan B of Congress party to safeguard themselves from a humiliating whitewash in this so called semi-final before the general elections. Now how many of you still feel Arvind is a real messiah is a different thing and I can only pity you and your sense of judgment but for sure, if this guy going to help anyone in Delhi elections it would be Shiela Dixit. I always said, the voters that would probably vote for Arvind are anyway traditional non-Congress voters. He may snatch few fence sitters and core Congress voters but that would be quite negligible. What Arvind can best achieve is eating down the vote share of BJP. And this requires no brilliance to understand that, it would help the corrupt Shiela Dixit government.

But Arvind has few more tricks up his sleeves than just eating out BJP vote share. He along with his friend Yogendra Yadav, who is a self-proclaimed world’s best pepsologist, claim to sweep the Delhi polls. Well, when one being a beginner can claim of getting around 50 seats in a 71 assembly then it is nothing but sweeping the polls. No? But the ground realities are far from what Arvind may dream. Though AAP is a threat to BJP, I nowhere see them winning anything beyond 5 seats. Those who say AAP may win a dozen or so seats, I have my deepest sympathy with them for reading the equation entirely wrong. For once I am sure Arvind himself going to lose badly against Shiela Dixit. Mrs. Dixit might be a corrupt lady but she for sure enjoys a forte kind of atmosphere in her constituency. Unsettling her would be the first challenge for Arvind and I am sure he will fail miserably there. Then who else left in AAP to up the moral? The Sazia Ilmis of the world who were caught negotiating money in a sting operation? Or the Sazia Ilmis of the world who were seen laughing hysterically when two morons from MTV were delivering foul avowals during an AAP campaign trail? Or the Yogendra Yadavs and the Rahul Mehras? Even a number of 5 seats looks little too much for me.

That said I still consider AAP a threat, more to BJP than Congress. Anyway AAP is Congress-B at the end of the day. Come December 8th, it will be either make-or-break for Arvind. Either he will establish himself and his party a force for the upcoming general elections or he will be out of India’s political equation forever. Looking at all the semantics and the cleaver ploy of AAP that Congress played, I have a feeling Begum Shiela Dixit might very well save her skin. By a very, very slender margin though but she will probably make it. AAP with what many numbers they end up churning out would support Mrs. Dixit to form the government anyway. So fingers crossed.

Let’s go to Madhya Pradesh. I would say there is no contest here. The only good thing that may happen or happened for Congress in MP is their step to shunt out a bad mouth moron called Digvijay Singh. The step might not earn them laurels in this election but a move in the right direction nevertheless. The earlier the Congress party realizes that sooner the absolute baggage like Digvijay Singh is led off the better it is for them. I am not sure if they would do this or not but they have to think on the similar lines about their Yuvraj. If they continue to carry this ship load disaster for too long, well history books only have some reference of Congress party in future; not our political scene in 15 years down the line. So I predict a mega win for Sivraj Singh this time. I won’t be surprised if BJP scores a good 20 more seats than their previous tally this time around. Jyotiraditya Scindhia may not realize this now but I guess he is put into the process of political oblivion by his own party since he is rapidly turning out to be a threat for the fake aura of the college dropout. Ditto could happen to Sachin Pilot in coming months or years. Hope these young turds have brain in their top tire to realize this.

How about Chhattisgarh? Well there could have been a contest and a glimmer of hope for Congress, had not for Ajit Jogi. He is another of the baggage which Congress should have got rid of before the state elections. In fact got rid of a long time back. The Maoist attack in the state that virtually wiped out every single Congress leader of some reckoning is another jolt that the party seems to have not coped with. And by the way the Maoist attack and Ajit Jogi leaving the caravan just the previous stop for his home and may such; does it point to somewhere? I mean that fateful day left the Congress high command with no option but to bank on Ajit Jogi. Does it sound like a plot? For me at least. Knowing Ajit Jogi for years and how cunning he can get to self-serve, I won’t again be surprised if one finds his hand or may be his foot as well in that horrific incident. Coming back to the projection, I feel Dr. Raman Singh will easily make it to the helm. If not that comfortably as the so called exit polls predict but he will make it to the finish line relatively in comfort.

What to say about Rajasthan? Ashok Ghelot almost gifted the state on a platter to BJP. To be honest, Ghelot’s government didn’t do anything spectacularly bad. It is just that his cabinet was full with crooks as per Congress standard and womanizer comparable with the stature of Chacha. The case of Madirna continued to hunt Ghelot for quite some time and will clearly reflect on the ballot papers. Few of the good schemes that Ghelot launched during his tenure never reached to the masses. I don’t blame Ghelot entirely since that is always the norm wherever there is a Congress government; be it the center or the state/s. They simply loot as if there is no tomorrow. The minimal benefit that people eventually got, were never advertised properly. I mean, there was no moral left probably with Ghelot’s government to showcase what they did for the state after looting good 80% money meant for the poor. Every time they tried to showcase the good that they did as a government it blasted on their face with double the amount of corruption charges. So every good was squarely negated with bigger and better associated evils. As per my guess work goes; Congress is going to get decimated brutally on December 8th. If the earth is not going to self-destroy itself in next 15 days, I don’t see any other miracle that can stop Vasundhara Raje taking the oath.

Ladies and gentlemen, here I conclude my pennyworth.  

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29 comments :

  1. I tend to disagree for the first time with you. In Delhi Congress will face a nightmare and so as AAP. Just wait for 8th December to come :)

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  2. i don't know why the hell ppl in delhi are not understanding that AK is more dangerous and crook than sheela... atleast we all know sheela but this new guy evil intentions are more dangerous...delhi ppl have u all lost ur mind....plzz today vote for development and vote against corruption and price rise

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  3. Delhi is city of babus, crooks, bootlickers and dalals. They are very uncomfortable with someone like Modi leading BJP to destroy the cosy system, which they form and enjoy. So entire opposition, media and babudom working in tandem to beat BJP in Delhi, only to undermine Modi. Kejriwal is surely a congi stooge who carefully cultivated image of messiah, large number of educated middle and upper middle class people have fallen to his propaganda of honesty and turn abusive (I faced this when they were challenged on facts about Kejriwal) when questioned. The language of roadies guy while campaigning for Shazia Ilmi is norm for supporters of AAP as they took high moral ground without knowing the facts and found it difficult to defend their ideology. I also expect AAP to support a congress government, they have common ground of SECULARISM to oppose BJP, removal of Bharat Mata photograph from Anna's movement, opposition to Ramdev and rear-licking of all maulavis is clear evidence that AAP is third grade version of Congress party.

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  4. Just seeing the so called Exit polls and to be honest my assessment of the morning is exactly on the line :)

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  5. <> I agree with all your observations & analyses except your judgment on Arvind & his motives.
    <> It seems you are prejudiced against Arvind - for whatever reason - and as a consequence you sound unjustifiably harsh while scanning him.
    <> Your analyses of the other 3 Hindi states are witty, adroit & perspicuous showcasing the actually existing ground realities

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  6. Dear Nagar,
    I am not prejudiced against Arvind at all. You can refer my old posts when the Anna agitation was at its peack and there was no hint of Arvind forming a political party. Then I projected the motives of Arvind in clear terms and he exactly did step-by-step as I had predicted in one of my blogs. So for Arvind, it is my gradual analysis that speaks.
    Just wait and if a situation arises where Shiela Dixit can form the Govt, Arvind will be the first one to support. After all he has this nonsense secularism ploy at his disposal to bank upon.

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  7. Why u speak against arnab

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  8. Arvind die but not to support congress if he support congress itself vanished

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  9. u said AAP a threat, more to BJP than Congress, u tell me why BJP Loss in Karnataka and uttarakhand

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  10. In one constituency one man beat congress MLA after that i shocked looking congress MLA and BJP allence Shivsena candidate come together put this man behind the bar.

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  11. Arvind die but not to support congress if he support congress he itself vanished

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  12. Dear Shrutika, if you can refine your English a bit, I can understand your point and clarify my standing and in the process hopefully to answer your queries.


    Thank You!!

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  13. In my opinion Arvind Kejriwal is another fool who would economic policies which wont ever work. he is a socialist idiot who will be as miserable as Congress.

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  14. I enjoyed reading your blog for sometime now but I think you are too prejudiced towards Arvind. Anyway let us wait and see what happens.

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  15. Govind SoundararajanDec 9, 2013, 9:03:00 PM

    Well. You have to eat your words on Arvind Kejriwal. You like it or not, AAP is a serious contender in politics

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  16. Author's judgement is broadly true. AAP serious contender??? He spoiled Delhi election. Re-election is eminent and who the heck is going to bear that cost??? Imagine this happening in Lok Sabha election...Hung parliament...Then I guess you would be very happy to see Mulayam, Mayawati or Mamata being PM of India. AK is really greedy and with this speed he will get so many greedy people along with him. Honestly speaking...if he respect people's verdict he should support BJP since he is largest party in Delhi election and Dr Harshvardhan is a nice and honest person, but AK's greed of CM's position is making him defy Aam Adami's verdict...Hope people can understand this...

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  17. Well, Indiman, I am not sure how you are qualified to give certificates of character to Harshvardhan and AK. Everyone enters politics to get into power. So to call AK greedy, who wants to become CM and Dr. Harshvardhan, a nice person and is a saint, is out of place.
    Again, your take of AAP, a vote spoiler is incorrect. I assume you are saying this bcos, AAP is a new party. We can also say, that since Congress is getting irrelevant these days, had they not contested, they would not have cut the votes and we may have a winner in either BJP or AAP.
    Pl. understand that just bcos a party is new, it cannot be pushed over. It has got a very compelling vote percentage, not just 1 or 2 % but 30 odd % even more than the Congress. Let us give credit, where it is due. BTW, I do not belong to any party. Just thinking rationaly here.

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  18. I do not know personally any one neither AK nor Dr. Harsha. My judgement was based on what I have seen them saying. The way they both speak, tone, body language, pitch, is all together different. AK may be a good and honest person but Dr Harsha seems more seasoned yet polite, and I read and heard he is HONEST too. The reason I said AK greedy is that he is looking just for CM position, even at cost of re-election (although not sure if that would certainly be good for him). His repeated rhetoric of re-election irritates. Why he think Dr Harsha would not be a good CM for Delhi public and he would be (since he dont want to support him). I am not a big fan of BJP either, but I wish congress to go away, just vanish and get erased from Indian history and so as many others like Mulayams, Mayawatis. The author of the article well said that he noticed at the time of Anna's movement, the same was my feeling. I liked seeing congress bend down but at the same time sensed its gonna be hatching zone for political ambitions. Thankfully Anna didnt join politics...AAP just spoiled Delhi election, and they even don't realize what they are going to do in LS election, make whole country a hung verdict. My choice is not BJP but NaMo, only person who I think can handle political dogs with a strong whip, keeping them at bay in favor of public in general, if given chance...Rest... all Indians are enough smart...to bring country to this edge...after all its democracy.

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  19. Well. I think you may have some prejudice against AAP. You have again mentioned that they have spoiled the election. If they got only 4% of votes and split the non congress votes and helped Congress retain power, then I would have agreed to your view. They have got an overwhelming support of people and would have even got to power. Their vote share is more than 30% which is what any leading party gets. I would say congress spoiled the election by splitting votes. Else either of BJP or AAP would have got more seats.
    If we go by your argument, then no new party can enter politics and we need to put up with current set of parties knowing well that they do not have the will to cleanse themselves and the governance.
    A new party has given the existing parties a run. We do not how AAP will perform when given power. But at least they have pushed the bar slightly higher with clean candidates. All other parties now will think twice before nominating criminals.
    Let us wait and see. Only time will tell where our great democracy is headed.
    JaiHind

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  20. Now that Congi is offering them unconditional support, AAP should form a government and fulfill the mwishes of its voter. Or that AK just like to question others business like a typical income tax officer :(

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  21. Govind SoundararajanDec 13, 2013, 1:28:00 PM

    Just like AAP found out that staying out of politics won't fetch anything and jumped into politics, it will take time for them realize that they may not get full majority all the time. They will learn to work with other political parties but they will learn the hard way.

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  22. i agree with u 100%...also want to mention the way they deal with left over wast of food they just goo to sink in the bogie and clean vessel in to them with all garbage out their meals clogging up the sing no on cares and keep gruggling out their from birth accumilated mucus and and pan parag or wat ever spitting it in to sink and not even flushing ........stinking A holes ... dont even want to mention the toilets there could be 50 or more possible contagious diseases in that rooms...........like your article and wats wrong wwith peple s comments above rather than agrreing with fact and try to promote aware ness they all saying look for bigger problems rather than these minor things ......u people should know minor things are what matters most as they accumilate and make a majorthings which by time of getting noticed will be out of hands to solve ....then we can do nothing but live with it......like current indian govt whole of it ......

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  23. Would be coming very soon. As early as today EOD ;)

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  24. You need to learn a lot.

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  25. Some, it appears, are paid these days to coin mad arguments.

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  26. munisammapa the jokerDec 23, 2013, 9:29:00 AM

    Who the F is this munisammapa? A real nut job, quite hilarious how this APE behaves ;-)

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  27. What about a part II of this piece @ BC, is that coming anytime soon?

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  28. Sonia may love to go on morning walk with a Dog called Sardesai

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  29. We have launched a petition to request President Obama to reconsider US Administration’s stand on Mr. Narendra Modi, the Chief Minister of the State of Gujarat, India.

    Please visit http://www.modi360.com to review and sign this petition.

    ReplyDelete

 
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